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Friday, 8 December 2017

Premier League: 10 things to look out for this weekend

 

Records on the line in the Merseyside and Manchester derbies, Swansea’s bust-up to spark a reaction and a head to head between Sean Dyche and Marco Silva
Tottenham Hotspur's' Juan Foyth; Javier 'Chicharito' Hernandez; Brighton's Izzy Brown and Everton's Kevin Campbell celebrates after scoring the only goal in Everton's September 1999 win, the Toffee's last win at Anfield.
Juan Foyth, Javier Hernández and Izzy Brown will look to make their mark this weekend, while Kevin Campbell scored the only goal in Everton’s last win at Anfield in 1999. Composite: Action/Reuters; Getty; AFP; EMPICS
Liverpool have never gone more than 15 consecutive derbies without defeat, that run ended by Andy King’s famous goal in October 1978, but it is a record that could fall in the next month. Their current tally is 14, with this match and next month’s FA Cup third-round tie here presenting them with an opportunity to make history at home. Everton are yet to win at Anfield during this century, and it is not only the head-to-head record which offers little hope. Between Scott Arfield’s goal in the 27th minute of their game against Burnley in September and Mohamed Salah’s equaliser in the 30th, Liverpool were losing at home – they have spent only those three minutes in arrears at Anfield in the league this season, making their ground by some margin that where away fans have spent least time celebrating. Meanwhile Everton are yet to win away from home, and indeed have held the lead in away games for only 47 minutes, worse than every team except for Crystal Palace, whose clock is still stuck at zero. But Liverpool fans will have less happy memories of the last time they glimpsed Sam Allardyce on the visitors’ bench, when he oversaw Palace’s 2-1 win in April, the first Anfield victory of his managerial career. Joe Gomez said after the 7-0 thrashing of Spartak Moscow on Wednesday that he expected an exciting game – “We’ve seen some teams come to Anfield and sit off but with the derby I don’t think they’ll come too defensive-minded” – but surely the last thing that can be expected of Allardyce is tactical naivety. SB
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2) A pivotal afternoon in Manchester

Something’s got to give. Will it be Manchester United’s 100% home record this season, or Manchester City’s 100% everywhere record? Defeat for the home side would send City skipping over the hills and far away, into an 11-point lead, while victory would leave United if not exactly breathing down City’s necks then certainly huffing and puffing in their vague vicinity. This poses a dilemma for neutrals: is the possibility of some kind of enjoyably competitive title chase more attractive than the romance of a potentially unbeaten season, the further tragicomic embitterment of José Mourinho and the secondary spectator sport that is wanton record-obliteration, of the sort that this City side seems potentially capable of? There is some encouragement for Mourinho’s men: City have not beaten Manchester United in December since 1970 (just four of their 83 games since have been played in the final month of the year, which seems statistically anomalous, and United have won all of them). SB
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3) A reaction from Swansea’s players

Swansea’s players showed considerably more aggression in a post-match dressing-room bust-up last week than they did on the pitch in defeat against Stoke City. Paul Clement has described the exchange of views as respectful, saying “it needed to happen, it was a healthy discussion, there was honesty and I hope it has the right effect”. While Clement insists he is the man to keep Swansea up and will be given time to bolster his squad with January recruits, one can’t help but feel his focus should be on improving the players he does have rather than talking up those yet to come in. If last weekend’s frank exchange of views doesn’t spark some sort of positive reaction against West Brom, the jig may well be up for Clement and Swansea before he gets the chance to embark on his eagerly awaited January trolley dash. BG
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Swansea City manager Paul Clement barks out instructions during their Premier League match against Stoke City in December 2017.
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Swansea City manager Paul Clement barks out instructions during their Premier League match against Stoke City in December 2017. Photograph: Athena Pictures/Getty Images

4) Hernández meets Chelsea once more

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West Ham’s pursuit of a third league victory of the season, and a first since September, has been boosted by the return to fitness of Javier Hernández, who has missed their last four matches with a hamstring injury. It would be a timely boost, if one that is unlikely to be popular with this weekend’s opponents: if he appears on Saturday it would be his 14th match against Chelsea, making them by some margin the team he has faced most frequently since moving to Europe in 2010 (he has played 10 games against Newcastle, and no other side more than nine times). He has scored in eight of his 13 games against Chelsea so far, or in 62% of them for the mathematically inclined, finding the net precisely once on each occasion, making them also the team against which he has been most prolific. In other news, so far this season Chelsea have won precisely 16 points at home, and exactly 16 points away from home, making them the only team in the top flight with a perfectly balanced record of home-and-away point-accumulation. SB
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5) Saints’ sloppy shooting

Southampton have had precisely 200 shots in the Premier League, fewer only than last season’s top six (and only 12 behind Manchester United), suggesting that they are something of a creative force. But only 45 of them have been on target, more only than Swansea, Huddersfield, Brighton and West Brom, suggesting either that they are wildly profligate or that they favour hopelessly optimistic efforts from long range. Nathan Redmond and Dusan Tadichave had seven shots on target this season from 28 and 21 attempts respectively. Alexandre Lacazette, Arsenal’s sharpest shooter, has had precisely as many shots on target as Redmond, Tadic and Charlie Austin put together, despite having had only half as many (52.3%, to be precise) shots overall. It is hard to know precisely what conclusion to draw from this knowledge, but it should reduce any feeling of surprise when Petr Cech watches yet another effort sail helplessly wide of his goal. SB
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Dusan Tadic has had seven shots on target this season
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Dusan Tadic has had seven shots on target this season. Photograph: Matt Watson/Southampton FC via Getty Images

6) Foyth in the spotlight


A week ago Juan Foyth had not played a single minute of first-team football for Tottenham in either the Premier or the Champions Leagues, but with Toby Alderweireld injured and Davinson Sánchez starting a three-match suspension after being sent off against Watford last weekend, the 19-year-old Argentinian is suddenly central to Mauricio Pochettino’s plans. Before Wednesday night’s game against Apoel his last action had come in the Carabao Cup, where as the home match against West Ham approached Pochettino said: “He needs to fight and prove that he can compete in this type of games. You will only know if he is ready to play, if he plays.” He played, Tottenham lost and Foyth had not been seen since, suggesting that his coach did indeed find an answer to his question, and not an overwhelmingly positive one. In preparation for this match Foyth played against Apoel, and performed capably, but Stoke will provide a significantly sterner test of the teenager’s mettle. SB
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7) A chance for Burnley’s Arfield to shine

Burnley v Watford is an intriguing match between two teams currently first and second of the Premier League’s second tier comprising clubs outside the so called Big Six. In their mid-40s, both Sean Dyche and Marco Silva were linked with the Everton job that eventually went to Sam Allardyce, a sign that they are two of the more highly regarded managers in the Premier League. Both have worked wonders so far this season, even if their public personae could scarcely be more different. Allardyce is not the only Proper Football Man to have suggested the mild-mannered Portuguese Silva gets too much credit, while Dyche is prone to occasional ridiculous whines about not getting enough. What is beyond question, however, is that both managers seem destined for greater things. For now Dyche has to solve the problems presented by the loss of Robbie Brady to serious knee injury for the rest of the season. One of Burnley’s outstanding players this season, the Dubliner had hit a rich vein of form in recent weeks but was carried off on a stretcher against Leicester last weekend. He is likely to be replaced by Scott Arfield, who is dependable but has in the past exasperated the Turf Moor faithful. He has big boots to fill but the 29-year-old Scot is likely to be given plenty of opportunities to make Brady’s place his own for the rest of the season. However, a failure to shine over the festive period will almost certainly send his manager scuttling off to the January sales. BG
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Burnley’s Scott Arfield
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Burnley’s Scott Arfield is likely to get a chance to impress. Photograph: Henry Browne/Getty Images

8) Another test for Leicester’s revival

This is, on paper, something of a mismatch: Newcastle have avoided defeat once in their last six games, and have collected but a single point in that time; Leicester have been beaten only once in their last nine league games – by Manchester City, who beat everyone – and last lost away from home when they visited Old Trafford in August (there have been four draws and a win since). Leicester’s good form certainly has much to do with Claude Puel’s impact, but it has perhaps been assisted by a little friendly fixture-compilation: between the visit of Chelsea in early September and that of Manchester United just before Christmas they will have played 14 league matches, their opponents including four of the current top nine sides and then everyone from Everton (in 10th) downwards except for Brighton; Newcastle by contrast will, by the end of this weekend, have played four of the current top nine in five games over three weeks. SB
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9) Brown’s reunion with the Terriers

Izzy Brown’s 70 minutes against Liverpool last weekend was his second Brighton start of the season, his first since early October, and ended a run of seven games in which he appeared as a substitute every time, but for an average of less than seven minutes. The Chelsea loanee’s return to the starting lineup could not have been better timed, before what is, for him, surely the most meaningful game of the season. Brown started 29 league games for Huddersfield – plus three more in the play-offs – during a successful loan spell in Yorkshire last season, and after their promotion he anticipated being brought back for a second campaign. This move, he says now, was “meant to be”, but in the end, with Huddersfield pushing for a permanent deal rather than another temporary switch, it collapsed. “Whatever happens next season, I will always love Huddersfield,” he said in May, as he prepared for the play-off final. How times have changed. “I don’t really care about Huddersfield right now,” he said this week. “After the play-off final, I thought I was going to go back there but as the summer went on, things didn’t work out the way they were meant to be … When it comes to the weekend, I want us to win.” SB
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10) Benteke’s search for his mojo

With the quality of Andros Townsend, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Yohan Cabaye and Wilfried Zaha on hand to help load the chamber, it seems remarkable that Christian Benteke has been unable to fire the bullets that would almost certainly propel Crystal Palace up the table and clear of the relegation zone. The Belgian forward has played 780 minutes of Premier League football this season and has yet to break his duck, but it is not for want of chances. He currently seems incapable of hitting a cow’s backside with the proverbial banjo, but with Connor Wickham still a long way off a return to the first team Benteke will continue to get plenty of opportunities and it is surely only a matter of time before something resembling his mojo returns. Will Palace’s match against Bournemouth be his day? BG
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Pos Team P GD Pts
1 Man City 15 36 43
2 Man Utd 15 26 35
3 Chelsea 15 16 32
4 Liverpool 15 14 29
5 Arsenal 15 10 28
6 Tottenham Hotspur 15 10 25
7 Burnley 15 2 25
8 Watford 15 -1 22
9 Leicester 15 0 20
10 Everton 15 -9 18
11 Southampton 15 -3 17
12 Brighton 15 -5 17
13 Stoke 15 -12 16
14 AFC Bournemouth 15 -4 15
15 Newcastle 15 -8 15
16 Huddersfield 15 -17 15
17 West Brom 15 -9 13
18 Crystal Palace 15 -17 10
19 West Ham 15 -19 10
20 Swansea 15 -10 9


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